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Seasonality and channel mix: why the right balance of channels changes through the year

WebRešenje PR / DirectBalkan ·

Short answer

A property's channel mix doesn't have to be the same all year. In peak weeks demand often exceeds supply, so the question is which bookings to accept and at what cost. In shoulder and low season the question becomes where guests will come from at all. The practical consequences:

  • peak season: protect margin and length of stay, and give returning and direct guests a clear route to book;
  • shoulder season: use the reach of online travel agencies (OTAs) and other channels to fill gaps;
  • low season: target the guests who travel then, and keep the fixed costs of every channel in proportion to what it can bring.

The right balance depends on where and what the property is. Measure your own months before changing anything.

How seasonal is tourism in the region?

Very, in several countries, though not equally in all. Eurostat's figures for nights spent in tourist accommodation in 2025 (the latest full year published at the time of writing) show:

  • across the EU, nearly one-third of tourism nights were spent in July and August;
  • the strongest seasonality was observed in Croatia, Greece, Bulgaria, Montenegro and Albania;
  • in Croatia, 55% of the year's nights were recorded in July and August, in Bulgaria 43% and in Greece 42%;
  • in Croatia, January, February, March, November and December together accounted for less than 5% of the year's nights.

These are national averages. A coastal property with a short summer peak, a mountain property with a winter season and a city property with business and event demand can follow very different curves within the same country. Your own booking calendar is the only figure that describes your property.

Why seasonality changes the channel question

Channel costs and channel value both move with the season:

  • Commission scales with the booking. A percentage commission costs the most on the highest-priced nights, which are usually the peak nights that were most likely to sell anyway.
  • Fixed costs spread differently. A website, booking engine or subscription costs the same every month, so its cost per booking is lowest in busy months and highest in quiet ones (see Effective cost of distribution).
  • Reach matters most when demand is thin. In shoulder and low season, an OTA's audience of guests who don't yet know your destination can be what fills the calendar.

So the same owner can reasonably lean more on OTAs in some months and more on returning and direct guests in others. That is a deliberate mix, not inconsistency.

Peak, shoulder and low season: what changes

Peak seasonShoulder seasonLow season
Main questionWhich bookings to accept, at what costHow to fill the gapsWhether and for whom to open
Role of OTAsOften less needed for occupancy; still a source of new guestsReach for guests who are not yet looking at youReach for the segments that do travel
Role of direct and returning guestsGive them a clear way to book before dates sell outOffer them dates and stays that suit themRepeat, regional and longer-stay guests can matter most
RestrictionsMinimum stays can protect against short gapsShorter minimums and gap-filling rulesFlexibility usually beats restrictions

These are tendencies, not rules. A city property with steady demand may hardly notice the difference; a coastal property may live almost entirely in the first column.

The controls you already have

The large OTAs let owners change conditions by date, so a seasonal plan doesn't require new tools:

  • Length-of-stay restrictions. Booking.com lets partners set minimum and maximum stay, stay from arrival, exact stay, closed arrivals or departures, and advance-reservation limits for chosen dates. Airbnb lets hosts set minimum and maximum trip length, including by check-in day.
  • Gap rules. Booking.com's dynamic restriction rules can relax restrictions automatically for unsold or gap nights, for example when a three-night minimum leaves two nights between bookings.
  • Seasonal prices and discounts. Airbnb rule-sets can apply seasonal pricing and length-of-stay, last-minute and early-bird discounts to chosen dates.

Booking.com itself notes that the more restrictions you set, the fewer potential guests will see your property. Restrictions that make sense in August can cost bookings in October. If you use a channel manager, set them there so every channel follows the same calendar (see Channel manager, PMS, booking engine).

Planning the mix season by season

  1. Measure last year by month. Bookings, guest nights and revenue per channel, assigned by stay date (the method is in Direct booking share).
  2. Find your seasons. Mark the months where you were nearly full, the months with gaps, and the months with little demand.
  3. Look at lead time in your own data. How far ahead each channel's guests booked, by month. It tells you when direct guests need to hear from you, and when it is too late for anything but OTA reach.
  4. Set restrictions per season, not once for the year.
  5. Give returning guests a route for peak dates. Within the rules on guest contact and your OTA terms, past guests can't book directly if they don't know they can (see How to reduce OTA dependency).
  6. Re-measure after each season and adjust the next one.

Extending the season

In strongly seasonal destinations the biggest gain is often not the peak but the months around it. Which guests travel then (regional visitors, longer stays, groups, events, business travel) depends on the destination; that is the subject of Extending the season.

Summary: In several countries in the region, Croatia, Greece, Bulgaria, Montenegro and Albania above all, tourism is concentrated in summer, so a single year-round channel mix rarely fits a seasonal property. Measure your own months, use OTA reach where demand is thin, protect margin and give returning guests a direct route where demand is strong, and set restrictions per season.

Publisher: WebRešenje PR / DirectBalkan. Statistics: Eurostat, nights spent in tourist accommodation, 2025. To estimate what commission amounts to on your revenue: Commission Calculator.